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<blockquote data-quote="Oliver Gilliland" data-source="post: 5984" data-attributes="member: 490"><p>I thought I'd take it upon myself to summarize the where we are at now following the speeches in the House of Commons today and make an objective analysis on the case for a second referendum. This is a topical issue so I wouldn't be surprised if it came up in interview. However, I appreciate it is a politically sensitive issue so I tried to remain as neutral as possible and highlight arguments from both sides.</p><p><strong></strong></p><p><strong>The Case For a Second Referendum </strong></p><p></p><p><strong>Where we are at now?</strong></p><p></p><p>A brief recap of the current state of play concerning Brexit. Today, Theresa May announced she planned to delay the ‘meaningful vote’ on the withdrawal agreement without specifying when exactly the vote would take place. However, she reassured the house the UK would leave on the 29th of March. So what was the point of all that? Many think she was simply trying to save her own skin as it was looking like an inevitable loss and a leadership battle would follow. Mrs May officially argued that the purpose was to ‘clarify’ some of the key concerns, mainly the Irish backstop issue. It is understandable to see this all seems like a bit of a farce, as EU officials have repeatedly stated this is the “best deal were are going to get” and that these talks would “only be clarifications” and the 585 text would not be “reopened”. Many of the MPs rightly stated there concerns at the delay as it doesn’t really make sense what she is hoping to achieve, if this is indeed the best deal possible.</p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/dec/10/theresa-may-postpones-brexit-deal-meaningful-vote-eu" target="_blank">https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/dec/10/theresa-may-postpones-brexit-deal-meaningful-vote-eu</a></p><p></p><p>So now there are 5 realistic options on what will happen next</p><p></p><p>1. No deal Brexit</p><p></p><p>2. A peoples vote/ Second referendum</p><p></p><p>3. Renegotiation (unlikely) / Clarification on the withdrawal agreement text and proceed with the withdrawal agreement if it passes in parliament.</p><p></p><p>4. General Election- A new party to takes the helm, but is unlikely they would be able to achieve a better deal. Moreover, Jeremy Corbyn has failed to take a definitive stance and the closest he has come is simply saying “all options are open” at the end of his Labour Part Conference. So in reality it seems unlikely a leadership change would make a drastic shift in the outcome of Brexit. Note that the SNP reached out to Labour today to put a people vote to top of the agenda and Labour has failed to respond.</p><p></p><p>5. Vote of no confidence</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Oliver Gilliland, post: 5984, member: 490"] I thought I'd take it upon myself to summarize the where we are at now following the speeches in the House of Commons today and make an objective analysis on the case for a second referendum. This is a topical issue so I wouldn't be surprised if it came up in interview. However, I appreciate it is a politically sensitive issue so I tried to remain as neutral as possible and highlight arguments from both sides. [B] The Case For a Second Referendum [/B] [B]Where we are at now?[/B] A brief recap of the current state of play concerning Brexit. Today, Theresa May announced she planned to delay the ‘meaningful vote’ on the withdrawal agreement without specifying when exactly the vote would take place. However, she reassured the house the UK would leave on the 29th of March. So what was the point of all that? Many think she was simply trying to save her own skin as it was looking like an inevitable loss and a leadership battle would follow. Mrs May officially argued that the purpose was to ‘clarify’ some of the key concerns, mainly the Irish backstop issue. It is understandable to see this all seems like a bit of a farce, as EU officials have repeatedly stated this is the “best deal were are going to get” and that these talks would “only be clarifications” and the 585 text would not be “reopened”. Many of the MPs rightly stated there concerns at the delay as it doesn’t really make sense what she is hoping to achieve, if this is indeed the best deal possible. [URL]https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/dec/10/theresa-may-postpones-brexit-deal-meaningful-vote-eu[/URL] So now there are 5 realistic options on what will happen next 1. No deal Brexit 2. A peoples vote/ Second referendum 3. Renegotiation (unlikely) / Clarification on the withdrawal agreement text and proceed with the withdrawal agreement if it passes in parliament. 4. General Election- A new party to takes the helm, but is unlikely they would be able to achieve a better deal. Moreover, Jeremy Corbyn has failed to take a definitive stance and the closest he has come is simply saying “all options are open” at the end of his Labour Part Conference. So in reality it seems unlikely a leadership change would make a drastic shift in the outcome of Brexit. Note that the SNP reached out to Labour today to put a people vote to top of the agenda and Labour has failed to respond. 5. Vote of no confidence [/QUOTE]
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