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<blockquote data-quote="Jake Rickman" data-source="post: 146414" data-attributes="member: 8521"><p>Hey Aditya,</p><p></p><p>To your question at the end of your post: I do not think there is a way to predict the future of markets. A lot of commentators try, but at the end of the day there is no crystal ball I am aware of that let us make any prediction with much certainty. To ask if there is a recovery on the horizon presupposes that there was an economic crash, which never really materialised in the first place (to my surprise, as to be honest I would have expected a proper recession by now). But who is to say we are not on the precipice of a crash? There are indicators that we are, but also suggestions of a more resilient economy on the horizon. What if this is the new "normal"? Or would it even be new? Weren't the 1970s basically an entire decade of high inflation and no/negative growth?</p><p></p><p>Who can say?</p><p></p><p>I am prepared to predict that I don't expect any improvement to come over night. My understanding is that it will take months for inflation to fall, rather than weeks. Especially where the inflation target is 2%. It is also not clear to me what mechanisms there are in place to prevent inflation from surging ahead again even if it does fall in the short-term. </p><p></p><p>To reframe this in an interview context: you continue to raise very fascinating and vexing points. But I would struggle to thread a needle through all the points you raise precisely because the points raise more questions than they answer. (Apologies if you were not trying to raise these stories in the context of developing our commercial awareness specifically for law firm interviews but for a more general chat!)</p><p></p><p>I think there is some strength to your approach in looking at a specific deal (Nvidia/Arm) in the context of the surge in AI. If your point is that in the long-run, AI may be the catalyst for increased deals, I think that's a fair point. In the short-term, I think you might see a cluster of deals in the VC/growth equity space, as well as M&A deals by big players buying up upstarts. But is this deal volume enough to increase M&A activity across all law firm M&A practice groups? I am not entirely convinced. But I could be wrong!</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Jake Rickman, post: 146414, member: 8521"] Hey Aditya, To your question at the end of your post: I do not think there is a way to predict the future of markets. A lot of commentators try, but at the end of the day there is no crystal ball I am aware of that let us make any prediction with much certainty. To ask if there is a recovery on the horizon presupposes that there was an economic crash, which never really materialised in the first place (to my surprise, as to be honest I would have expected a proper recession by now). But who is to say we are not on the precipice of a crash? There are indicators that we are, but also suggestions of a more resilient economy on the horizon. What if this is the new "normal"? Or would it even be new? Weren't the 1970s basically an entire decade of high inflation and no/negative growth? Who can say? I am prepared to predict that I don't expect any improvement to come over night. My understanding is that it will take months for inflation to fall, rather than weeks. Especially where the inflation target is 2%. It is also not clear to me what mechanisms there are in place to prevent inflation from surging ahead again even if it does fall in the short-term. To reframe this in an interview context: you continue to raise very fascinating and vexing points. But I would struggle to thread a needle through all the points you raise precisely because the points raise more questions than they answer. (Apologies if you were not trying to raise these stories in the context of developing our commercial awareness specifically for law firm interviews but for a more general chat!) I think there is some strength to your approach in looking at a specific deal (Nvidia/Arm) in the context of the surge in AI. If your point is that in the long-run, AI may be the catalyst for increased deals, I think that's a fair point. In the short-term, I think you might see a cluster of deals in the VC/growth equity space, as well as M&A deals by big players buying up upstarts. But is this deal volume enough to increase M&A activity across all law firm M&A practice groups? I am not entirely convinced. But I could be wrong! [/QUOTE]
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