Thanks so much for your response! I agree that the potential consequences would lead to a negative effect. However, interest rates have been cut thrice this year and once again (potentially) in December, and the budget seems to have been received better than expected (softening inflation). Inflation has come down to 3.6% after some persistent months at 3.8%.I would not expect the new Budget and the associated increased government borrowing to have much of a positive impact in terms dealmaking activity, outside of perhaps some specific sectors the government will be able to invest more into - although it is doubtful that given the current budget deficit issues, economic stagnation, and persistent inflation we will see a significant ram up in investments.
The other potential consequences mentioned, to the extent they actually materialise, would have a negative effect: crowding out effects and increasing interest rates will make general borrowing and therefore financing of transactions more difficult, while decreasing confidence in the UK's ability to repay its debts should lead to a decrease in willingness to invest in the UK economy. The only tailwind I cans see as a result of the new Budget would have more to do with the increased taxes/spending cuts, as those reinforce investor confidence in the fiscal prudence of the Government.
Besides the budget, do you reckon these are actually positive economic indicators for (somewhat) better dealmaking? Of course not 2021/22-style but mild improvement(?). I was also wondering about if/how this affects the attractiveness of private credit.
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